Model Sources

India / Telangana / Hyderabad · Forecast ecosystem

What models are available?

Model Sources

Five forecast sources with different resolutions, horizons and strengths. Current weights reflect the active context.

BharatFS

Regional NWP · National centre (demo proxy)

Operational

Resolution

4 km

Horizon

0–72 h

Current weight

31%

Contextual skill

80

Recent performance

  • Convective rainfall
  • Monsoon cores
  • High resolution

NCUM

Global NWP (unified) · National centre (demo proxy)

Operational

Resolution

12 km

Horizon

0–240 h

Current weight

27%

Contextual skill

76

Recent performance

  • Synoptic systems
  • Coastal lows
  • Stable bias

GFS

Global NWP · NOAA (demo proxy)

Operational

Resolution

25 km

Horizon

0–384 h

Current weight

14%

Contextual skill

56

Recent performance

  • Long lead time
  • Temperature fields
  • Wide coverage

GEFS

Global ensemble · NOAA (demo proxy)

Operational

Resolution

25 km / 31 members

Horizon

0–384 h

Current weight

20%

Contextual skill

66

Recent performance

  • Uncertainty spread
  • Probabilistic signal
  • Regime shifts

AI Forecast Proxy

Data-driven (ML) · BharatCast research (demo)

Proxy

Resolution

25 km

Horizon

0–120 h

Current weight

8%

Contextual skill

49

Recent performance

  • Fast refresh
  • Bias correction
  • Pattern recall

Reading these cards

How to interpret the ecosystem view.

  • · Weight is contextual — it changes with region, regime and lead time.
  • · Contextual skill is a 0–100 composite of RMSE, bias, POD, FAR, CSI and ETS.
  • · A source with lower skill still keeps a 5% floor so the blend stays robust.

Model descriptions are high-level. Every skill number here is simulated demonstration data for the prototype.