Overview

India / Telangana / Hyderabad · Forecast intelligence

Forecast intelligence

Forecast intelligence for a changing atmosphere.

BharatCast evaluates multiple forecast sources and dynamically combines them according to location, weather regime, lead time and recent model skill.

Run the adaptive blend

Stage 1

Forecast sources

5 ingested

Stage 2

Skill engine

90-day window

Stage 3

Context engine

Region · regime · lead

Stage 4

Adaptive blending

Weights recomputed

Stage 5

Validated forecast

vs observations

Active forecast sources

0

Regions evaluated

0

Historical forecasts analysed

0.0M

Blended confidence

0%

Improvement vs best model

0.0%

Sample values from the deterministic demo dataset.

Forecast intelligence layer

Click a state to move the entire application context.

Forecast intensityLight (mm)ModerateIntense

What the system sees

Active forecast context.

Region

Telangana

Season

Southwest Monsoon

Weather regime

Heavy rainfall

Lead time

24 hours

Target variable

Rainfall

Blend confidence

87%

Model disagreement detected

Low disagreementHigh disagreement

Spread index 38moderate divergence

Why the blend changed

Adaptive weighting, explained.

  1. AI Forecast Proxy performance improved
  2. Recent skill up 2.2%
  3. Weight increased

    6% 8%

Derived from contextual skill for Telangana, heavy rainfall, 24h.

Hyderabad

Rainfall

42mm

Expected range

34–51 mm

Confidence

87%

vs best model

+12.4%

vs simple average

+16.8%

Open Forecast Explorer

Source spread

Individual source forecasts at +24h.

  • BharatFS31.2 mm
  • NCUM40.7 mm
  • GFS32 mm
  • GEFS44.3 mm
  • AI Forecast Proxy50.3 mm

Five sources disagree — the blend resolves them using contextual skill.

System status

Demo statuses.

  • Forecast pipelineOperational
  • IngestionHealthy
  • Skill engineHealthy
  • Blend engineHealthy
  • ValidationHealthy

Recent forecast events

Prototype case studies from the demo dataset.

Telangana

Telangana Heavy Rainfall

High

Lead time

24h

Confidence

87%

View event

Maharashtra

Mumbai Extreme Rainfall

Severe

Lead time

24h

Confidence

79%

View event

Delhi

Delhi Heatwave

High

Lead time

48h

Confidence

91%

View event